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RIA Novosti: Gazprom Could Lose Billions Over Ukraine Gas Deal – Analyst

MOSCOW, December 18 (RIA Novosti) ­ Russia’s deal to provide Ukraine with cheaper gas may mean billions of dollars in lost profits, an investment analyst told a business newspaper in remarks published...

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Interfax: SUMMARY: Gazprom slashes gas price for Ukraine by third, looks at...

MOSCOW. Dec 18 (Interfax) – Russia’s Gazprom (MOEX: GAZP) and Naftogaz Ukraine, in the presence of the two countries’ presidents on Tuesday, signed addenda to January 19, 2009 contracts on the...

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RIA Novosti: Russia Condemns Pressure on Ukraine to Turn Towards Europe

MOSCOW, December 18 (RIA Novosti) ­ Russia is surprised by blatant attempts to pressure Ukraine into signing an association agreement with the European Union, Russia’s foreign minister said Wednesday....

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Interfax: Russia has no wish to restore USSR though integration has benefits...

MOSCOW. Dec 20 (Interfax) – The statements of people accusing Russia of imperial ambitions or aspiration to restore the Soviet Union are groundless, Russian Federation Council Speaker Valentina...

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Interfax: Russian foreign minister on Ukraine’s place in Europe and Eurasia

(Interfax – Moscow, December 21, 2013) Russia would like to see Ukraine participating in Eurasian integrational processes and the agreements between Russia and Ukraine of 17 December confirm a shared...

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Preparations for Russia’s G8 presidency will give priority to search for...

MOSCOW. Dec 31 (Interfax) – Russian President Vladimir Putin has given the country’s government and Foreign Ministry until May 1, 2014 to complete negotiations on a Eurasian Economic Union Treaty with...

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Belarusians Want to Join EU Rather than Russia, Poll Shows

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, January 3, 2013) Ukrainians and Moldovans are not the only nations between Moscow and the European Union who would prefer to be part of the EU than any...

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Moscow Faces Five Growing Obstacles to Integrating Post-Soviet Space, MGIMO...

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, February 18, 2014) Both because the Russian empire has always been “an empire of a special type” and because ethnic Russians remain “the most divided people...

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Stability across Former Soviet Space ‘Deceptive,’ Moscow Paper Says

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, February 26, 2014) Despite the fact that the Ukrainian revolution is far from over, many in Moscow are asking where the next such outburst of turmoil and...

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Despite Ukraine Crisis, Russia Pursues Eurasian Integration Dream

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Robert Coalson – May 28, 2014) It’s full steam ahead for the Moscow-backed Eurasian Economic Union — even as its prospective members express serious reservations. At the May 29...

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RIA Novosti: Opinion: Eurasian Union’s Economic Integration Stronger than EU’s

WASHINGTON, May 30 (RIA Novosti), Lyudmila Chernova – The Eurasian Economic Union is a better, more realistic step towards economic integration than the European Union, and will be more productive,...

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For Russia, Eurasian Union is About Politics, Not Economy

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexander Panin – May 30, 2014) With the milestone agreement to create a Eurasian economic union clinched in Kazakhstan on Thursday, Russia put cheap energy...

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Meet the EEU family (Eurasian Economic Union)

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – bne IntelliNews – January 5, 2015) Members: Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia Prospective member: Armenia Potential members: Kyrgyzstan (likely), Tajikistan (unlikely)...

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The Riga summit of disappointment

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – May 21, 2015) Several plucky countries of Emerging Europe have put their necks on the block by defying Russian bullying to join its Customs Union,...

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NEWSWATCH Carnegie Endowment for International Peace/Eugene Rumer, Paul...

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace undertakes an overview of former Soviet states two-and-a-half decades following the USSR’s collapse. For nearly twenty-five years following the...

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Russia Seeks To Drive Wedge Into Central Asia

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Bruce Pannier – January 5, 2016) Russia appears to be practicing a bit of “divide-and-conquer” politics in Central Asia, and state-owned Gazprom is spearheading the campaign. On...

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NEWSWATCH: “Why Ukraine and Russia Need Each Other”– Nicolai Petro/Russian...

Ukraine needs ….  the restoration of those economic ties with Russia that clearly benefit the Ukrainian economy, at least until Ukraine develops stable alternative markets. …. a stop gap measure needed...

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RUSSIALINK Russia Direct: “Does Putin really intend to restore the Soviet...

“Despite the deteriorating state of relations between Russia and the West, experts and politicians continue to search for ways out of the crisis. Many blame Russia and President Vladimir Putin for the...

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NEWSWATCH: “Belarus reportedly mulls leaving Eurasian Economic Union as...

“#Belarus wants to leave the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), the Collective Security Treaty Organisation and possibly the union state of #Russia and Belarus, the Russian online news service Regnum...

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Border regime with Belarus was not introduced, at issue are border zones to...

MOSCOW. Feb 3 (Interfax) – #Moscow has pointed it out to #Minsk that no decisions on the introduction of a border regime on the #Russian-#Belarusian border have been made and the Federal Security...

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NEWSWATCH: “Why Belarus Can’t Afford to Be the New Ukraine; Is it too late...

“On February 3 Belarusian president Aleksandr Lukashenko launched the fiercest of his rhetorical attacks against Russia  …. moderate estimates show that Belarus has received approximately $100 billion...

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RUSSIALINK: “A CHINESE SILK NOOSE”– Valdai Club/ Georgy Toloraya

“… In response to the Chinese initiative, Russia advanced an even more ambitious project of a Greater Eurasian Partnership … incorporate[ing] the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), the Shanghai...

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Russia setting priorities of its EAEU presidency – Medvedev

ASTANA. Aug 14 (Interfax) – The Russian presidency of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) in 2018 will focus on trade barriers, interaction with international partners, labor standards, and support for...

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RUSSIALINK: “No rapid de-dollarization, national currency settlements pose...

MOSCOW. Nov 22 (Interfax) – There will be no rapid de-dollarization in settlements which, when conducted in other national currencies, including those of Eurasian Economic Union countries, pose certain...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Putin’s Iconoclastic Economics Guru to Lose Kremlin Post [re:...

“A[ Kremlin] economist [and top Putin advisor] known for challenging Russia’s tight-money policies … is leaving the Kremlin after seven years. Sergei Glazyev will switch to the Eurasian Economic...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Moscow Has Limited Options in Belarus”– Chatham House/ John...

Leaked details of the latest negotiations between Moscow and Minsk on fleshing out their 20-year old Union State project suggest that Russia wants to place Belarus in a closer embrace without...

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Post-Soviet State Responses to COVID-19: Making or Breaking Authoritarianism?

(PONARS Eurasia – Marlene Laruelle, Madeline McCann – March 24, 2020) Marlene Laruelle is Research Professor, Director of the Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies (IERES), Director of...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “China and Russia: Economic Unequals”– CSIS/ Jonathan E. Hillman

“…. Xi and Putin’s signature economic visions even appear complementary at first glance. Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has unleashed Chinese companies to build roads, railways, fiber-optic...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Will Russia invade Belarus?”– bne Intellinews/ Ben Aris

“Russia has a lot more to lose than to gain from an annexation of Belarus. But it will be hard to lose anything in a post-Lukashenko Belarus” “… Lukashenko … [said] he would ask … Putin to help Belarus...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Why Vladimir Putin is unlikely to invade Belarus”– Atlantic...

“… Lukashenka seems to be on his way out. … he could only gather a few thousand press-ganged ‘supporters’ for a regime rally … [C]olossal crowds gathered [in Minsk] … hours later to demand his...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Lukashenko Says He Is Ready to Share Power in Belarus as...

“[Belarus’ leader] … Lukashenko … [says] he would be ready to hold new elections and hand over power after a constitutional referendum, an attempt to pacify mass protests and strikes … pos[ing] the...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Tikhanovskaya to hold first transition council meeting, EU...

“The focus of the opposition is shifting from street protests to a legal assault on Lukashenko’s administration and the creation of a transition government.” “… nominal president-elect of Belarus...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Belarus Opposition Seeks to Reassure Russia as Strikes Go...

“Opposition leaders in Belarus are seeking to reassure Russia about future relations as the biggest challenge to … Lukashenko’s 26-year rule continues with nationwide strikes. Russia is an important...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Merkel and Putin discuss political crisis in Belarus”–...

“German leader’s talks with counterpart acknowledge Russia’s crucial role in deciding fate of Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko.” “… Merkel called … Putin … Tuesday to discuss Belarus[,] …...

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Will Russia Intervene Militarily in Belarus?

... Putin ... apparently promised 'comprehensive security assistance,' according to Lukashenko, ... then stated 'preparedness to render necessary assistance in resolving the emerged problems [...]

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Only Six Percent of Russians Think Lukashenka About to Lose Power, VTsIOM...

(Paul Goble – Window on Euarasia – Staunton, Aug. 16, 2020) While one Russian in four thinks Alyaksandr Lukashenka falsified the results of the presidential vote there and only one in five thinks that...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Putin bets on Lukashenko keeping power in Belarus for now:...

“… Putin believes … Lukashenko will probably cling to power for now despite protests … and is content to let him sweat it out, two sources close to the Kremlin said. … [T]he two countries usually have...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Biegun Says U.S. Sees No Indication of Russian Military Plans...

“Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Biegun [was in Lithuania,] signal[ing] a greater U.S. role … trying to settle … strife … erupt[ing] when Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko cracked down on...

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Belarusians Expected a Maidan but Instead have a Revolution, Kagarlitsky Says

(Paul Goble – Window on Eurasia – Staunton, August 19, 2020) Belarusians expected a Maidan like in Ukraine with a dispute about falsification of election results leading to the ouster of a dictator;...

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As Lukashenka Turns To Geopolitics, The West Faces Learning Curve In Belarus

... The embattled strongman has been back-footed by the massive, unprecedented demonstrations demanding he resign in the wake of the August 9 presidential election the protesters view as fixed [...]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Belarus’ Soviet-era economy still propped up by Moscow”–...

“Belarus has one of the lowest poverty rates in Europe, but economic growth is anemic due to archaic state-run industries and the ending of Russian energy subsidies. Its biggest political crisis is...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Belarus protests stoke sea change at state media outlets”–...

“Hundreds of journalists have gone on strike demanding fair coverage of demonstrations.” “… [In] a sea change at … [Belarus’s] normally pliant state media[,] [h]undreds of journalists have gone on...

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RUSSIALINK: “Travel Ban, Oil Supplies on Russia-Belarus Agenda”– Moscow Times

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Sept. 4, 2020) Russia and Belarus are preparing to reopen borders that were closed because of the coronavirus pandemic and are discussing rerouting Belarusian oil...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “After Weeks of Pressure in Belarus, Protesters and Lukashenko...

“More than 100,000 people protest; country’s longtime leader set to meet Putin on Monday.” “More than 100,000 … poured into the streets of … Minsk [Sunday], sparking a show of force and mass detentions...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “A dozen countries refuse to recognise Lukashenko’s...

“A dozen countries refused to recognise … Lukashenko as … legitimate president of Belarus after he secretly inaugurated himself … September 23. Tensions were high in Minsk after the news broke, with...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Alexander Lukashenko changes tack in Belarus stand-off”–...

“Meeting imprisoned opposition leaders is departure from previous hardline approach” “After … weeks in the Belarusian KGB prison, tech executive Dmitry Rabtsevich and a dozen opposition activists …...

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Tikhanovskaya’s People’s Ultimatum deadline expires, general...

“Opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya set a deadline of October 25 for Lukashenko to leave office or face a general strike that will bring the country to its knees. Lukashenko has not quit.” “The...

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RUSSIALINK: “Former presidential candidate Tikhanovskaya wants to be...

Former Belarusian presidential candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya has said that she is willing to lead the country in the transitional period [...]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Multinational firms under pressure to break ties with...

“The West has imposed sanctions on Belarus’ elite, but they are not enough to oust President Alexander Lukashenko. Increasingly the opposition and its supporters are targeting international companies...

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The State of Disunion in Belarus

The key descriptor for Belarusian society at the moment may be “disintegration” [...]

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